decision William Lasso related to dissolve the legislature and rule by decree a new chapter until new parliamentary and presidential elections are held. widespread crisis it shakes Ecuador for years. The former banker came to power on May 24, 2021 and has never been able to resolve the inherited situation from the past. Lenin Moreno. His right-wing government was very weak after a lot of protests after losing the referendum and regional elections last February. Five keys explain the origin and evolution of the Ecuadorian political crisis.
1. “Cross-death”, dissolution of the National Assembly
Analysts, the president took a step forward Seeing that he will be sacked by National Assembly where did he spend blame with embezzlement Lasso must have felt that the adherents of former President Rafael Correa and the Social Christians had secured enough votes for the election. motion of reprimand and if they failed this time, they would soon try the same suspension again. After gaining the support of the army and the police, he announced the dissolution of the Assembly. “cross death”-asserting the existence ofdemocracy and the destabilization of the stateCorruption complaints against the state had deepened the isolation. The Constitutional Court allowed him to be tried in Congress for only embezzlement charges. In this way, Lasso avoided facing many of the media’s complaints about his alleged dealings with the government. Public companies run by his brother-in-law. danilo carrera.
2. Next election date
This thaw between National Assembly grants special powers of the president during his tenure. Election officials have until May 24 to set the election date.
HE National Electoral Council (CNE) should design the roadmap in the middle. very hot environment And unpredictable. If all the requirements are met and most parties accept the new calendar, something looks very unlikely today, Ecuadorians would soon have to go to the polls. 90-day period. Winners of presidential and parliamentary competitions must remain in office for the remainder of the current administration. Lasso And National Assemblyuntil May 2025.
3. The danger of making a decision by decree
Lasso accepted Support from the United States, Mexico and Peru, but Ecuador has entered a tunnel with no apparent exit. The forces, correístas and social Christians trying to push him out have conflicting interests beyond a shared hatred of the former banker. HE local movementother great political actor in that country,” he is preparing to face what he describes on the street.self blow“. Lasso’s probability rule by decree promises to be a high resource political conflict. Correista Andrés Arauz, who lost in the second round against the current president two years ago, said:a very turbulent political time is coming“due to government initiative”to impose a plutocratic agenda”. He added that it was understood as a call to prevent its continuation. Lasso. “Are we going to give him more months?” asked. This followers related to Rafael Correa they feel revitalized after their victory in the regional elections. But other factions are debating the leadership of the former president, who is now in exile in Turkey. Belgiumleading the protests.
4. Lasso’s Obstacles
HE former banker won elections because some part of society imposed it denial to your figure Belt. As soon as he took the reins of the state, he began to challenge. local movement and others social forces. Lasso came out unscathed from a startup last year. blame, but never managed to fix the presidential project. In the eyes of experts, structural deficit Reminiscent of the 1999-2000 period, dollarization of the economy, still up to date. Internal conditions were also not in favor of the Government. Ecuador failed to recover its pre-pandemic activity levels. This poverty 25%. This excessive force It increased from 8.9% to 10.7% last year. One of the popular consumption sources is Remittances from the United States and Spain and other European countries and totaled $4,783 million in 2022.
#5. Security issue
Lasso promised to solve the growing problem. urban security, threatened by the unprecedented raid of drug gangs who quarreled the land with blood and fire. For Ecuadorians, 2022 has been worst year her story reported to the National Police 4,450 murders and more than 332 femicides, more than half of them organized crime. The murder rate per 100,000 people has already reached 25.5, making the country the sixth most violent in the region. HE Exception status As with the decision to involve the Armed Forces in the fight against drug traffickers, it only aggravated the problem. The war between criminal organizations moved to prisons. since 2021, 420 prisoners died indifferent massacres processed in prison facilities.