head United States of America, Joe BidenHe staged a surprise trip to Kiev this Monday, and his government’s message that has been launched for almost a year is Russia returning war to Europe: “unwavering and tireless devotion” with Ukraine. This commitment has been proven in the last 12 months from Washington, which approved the allocation. 113,000 million dollars To offer the Slavic country above all military aid, but also direct economic and humanitarian aid, and this played an important role in the mobilization of the allies even before the start of the invasion. NATO and uniting against the aggression of the West Vladimir Putin.
However, for the democrat, this anniversary moment also marks a decisive and uncertain point, although he repeats it. backup will be preserved “as long as it lasts”. The threat of rupture, both at the international community and at the national level, is intensifying, especially in the face of a growing prospect of renewal. long war of attrition can increase the pressure on Volodymyr Zelensky to enter talks. And as US intelligence concludes that recovery is Crimea is no longer possible and encourages its preparation. counterattack not focusing on the expected massive Russian offensive and all the cities Moscow has sent troops to bakhmutCurrently, Biden continues to support Zelenski in trying to retake as much territory as possible before sitting down for negotiation.
It is also a time of risk. Because a year-long strife not only exacerbates Washington’s conflict with Moscow, it’s starting to take on almost personal overtones between Biden and Putin, who last spoke on February 12 last year. further complicates the already difficult relationship with him. Chinese, a broader shock with serious consequences for the global future. The accusations made this weekend by the Secretary of State, Anthony BlinkenConsidering arming Russia against Beijing was the final step in a dangerous escalation.
internal spaces
Within the US, opposition to continuing to support aid to Ukraine, albeit in the minority for now, vibrates in the most extreme wing of the Republican Party. The overwhelming weight of this faction among the weak conservative majority in the House of Representatives jeopardizes the approval of new parties. And despite being a ‘speaker’ Kevin McCarthy showed its rejection decision “fatigue Ukraine”offered this month Matt GaetzThe support figures from Freedom Caucus, one of the extremists of 10 Republicans, to the text saying that “the United States must end its military and economic aid to Ukraine and urge all fighters to reach a deal,” predict a compromise. civil war.
Surveys, like recent surveys by the AP, Erosion among citizens of support for US accession. In these nine months, it dropped 12 points to 48%. Now 59% of those asked say limiting the damage to the US economy is more important than imposing sanctions on Russia. Representatives of the Biden government, on the other hand, conveyed to the Zelenski government that there is a limit to the patience of the Congress and the people, and that it will end. difficult to maintain level of participation. “We will continue to try to make them understand that we can’t do anything and everything forever,” an administration official told The Washington Post, who was not named.
military machine
HE military support It has been the largest of all countries so far. In this area, the USA gradually increased the barriers it had set for itself in order not to be seen as a provocation in Moscow. Initially, for example, they resisted sending. medium range missilesbut in the end they did. More recently, the same thing, Abrams tanks. And only time will tell if Zelenski, with the support of some Democratic and Republican voices in the US, will be able to win the election. F-16 aircraft And long range missiles While Biden may seem apprehensive about definitively opening the door for Ukraine to achieve goals within Russia, it’s what he’s looking for.
The war in Ukraine has also brought the US military-industrial complex into full swing, both to fulfill its commitments to provide arms and ammunition assistance to Ukraine and to respond to growing demands from allies who have had to turn to their own arsenals. and refuel them. Something from China to those who criticize the war, seeing it as something and condemning it. Washington’s interest in the contestwith military industry function as in wartime without being technically or formally coexisting. But it is also where other voices and analysts have identified issues that the United States and the defense industry have accumulated over the decades that, according to this analysis, will call into question the United States’ ability to launch a traditional, high-intensity, protracted conflict. .
with shipmentsand they emptied the arsenals In a recent report, the director of the security program warned that it could take five years or more to replenish the arsenal of “some munitions and weapons systems” and Stinger surface-to-air missiles with 155mm ammunition and Javelin systems. Seth Jones of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
While procuring Ukraine, also signed arms contracts taiwan They’re four years late. And more and more people in the Biden government are looking at the conflict in Ukraine from the perspective of what would happen if China tried to forcibly unite the island. Some officials are already talking about treating the security theaters of Europe and Asia as interconnected. And experts like former Under-Secretary of Defense Michele Flournoy call for “to think about how to translate for Taiwan the lessons learned in Ukraine.” asymmetric conflict Given to Ukrainians since the US invasion of Crimea in 2014.