Brazil We expect political tensions to increase. second round of selection next presidential election October 30with Jair Bolsonaro, who is seeking re-election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, former chairman and candidate of the Labor Party (PT). Every day brings something new that broadens your horizons. uncertainty.
Here are some keys to understanding what’s at stake for the South American giant:
What the latest polls say
After a heated debate between the candidates last Sunday, the retired captain reduced the distance the leader of the left took him by one point. At least, that’s what IPEC consulting concluded a few hours after the contestants saw each other in a television studio. The poll shows that Lula will have 50 percent of the vote, while the far-right leader has 43 percent of the vote. A week ago, the difference between the two was eight points.
The Datafolha survey, one of the most reliable measurements, is expected to confirm the same perception among voters shortly. In the last poll, Lula was voted 53% and Bolsonaro 47%.
Indecisive and hesitant
Lula and Bolsonaro reached a ceiling in their membership. The ex-unionist got 48.5% of the vote in the first round, which would have been a success under other circumstances. What he doesn’t have to achieve victory in the latter is to persuade him. indecisive or for those who still accept as revealed truth the narrative of the years of PT government propagated by the far right as a kingdom of royalty. corruption. The President is out to look for men and women who still don’t know who to choose. But Bolsonarismo has another expectation. Lula’s margin against Bolsonaro can be significantly reduced. abstention level, which was about 20% on the first Sunday in October.
Bolsonaro’s gun
Fake news entered Brazilian political life during the 2018 election campaign. side story your reality. Bolsonarism, a phenomenon that emerged in social networks, has made them one of their mainstream. weapons of persuasion and intimidation. PT himself knows this. According to the Sao Paulo newspaper folhaIn the former president’s environment, it is feared that in the final stage a storm of fake news will intensify and attack networks as well as networks. What’s up?. Last week, the far-right assured that if Lula won, they would close the Pentecostal churches. The Supreme Election Board (TSE) has taken measures against these unlawful acts that have not yet been carried out. PT complains that a movie linking Bolsonaro to cannibalism was taken down within 24 hours and an offensive ad against Lula was shown for 10 days.
Scandal with Venezuelan youth
Lula’s campaign is trying to capitalize on some of his rival’s controversial remarks, which continue to make waves in the media. A few days ago the retired captain talked about a motorcycle trip that ended with him being found in a house. Venezuelan youth. “I got in the mood and came back. Can I get into your house? I got in.” Bolsonaro implied that the girls were prostitutes, Something Venezuelans and Archdiocese of Brasilia Caritas denies. For Marina Silva, Bolsonaro should at least be accused of lying. Alexandre de Moraes, president of the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE), ordered the PT to remove an election propaganda linking the president with electoral propaganda. pedophilia. However, the topic did not leave the campaign. First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro and former Family Minister and senator-elect Damares Alves went to look for two of these youths.
suspect identification
Bolsonaro has sown doubts about him. transparency threatened not to recognize the results of the electoral system and especially the electronic ballot box. This warning, which was repeated even in front of the diplomatic community, ended after the figures obtained in the first round. However, unknowns remained about his willingness. to recognise quickly the final victory of his opponent. The effects of this possible refusal raise further concern and fuel the possibility of incidents before and after 30 October.