The books are likely to label last week as the fourth crisis. Formosan Strait. The note serves to establish that there are neither tensions nor recent projections, although there is a lot of enormity when it comes to Taiwan. Chinese invasions They are new. On the other hand, the rigorous media attention paid to routine military exercises in Asia, with daily counts of competing ships and unofficial border crossers, is unprecedented.
It is doubtful that this is the biggest crisis in history. The noise cannot be discussed when the Democratic Progressive Party runs the candidate and has more provocative presidents than there is. Tsai Ing-wenreasonable and logical. Chen Shui BianAt the turn of the millennium, he woke up every day thinking of the best way to piss off Beijing. Moreover, the party has turned from independence to sovereignty and respect for the status quo. So in combat elements of trust eliminating unilateral separatism and establishing a framework for basic coexistence.
for decades Chinese threats and Taiwanese victimizationA reassuring certainty stopped the war: neither Taipei nor Beijing want “their” islands to be razed or “their” people slaughtered. China speaks of Taiwanese as citizens and sees the island as just another chamber in Taiwan. family home. What increases the current risk is the introduction of a third element. United States of AmericaWith no evidence that Taiwan is as foreign as it is remote, that its fate is more important to him than Iraq or Afghanistan.
trap in relationship
Xi Jinping, The Chinese president clarified in a recent phone call with his American counterpart, Joe Biden, He said Taiwan is the main obstacle to the health of bilateral relations. More than Trump’s trade or technology wars or allegations of human rights abuses in Xinjiang. Taiwan sovereignty affects and territorial integrity, They are sacred issues for China because they are linked to colonialism and other historical traumas.
Arms sales and rebellious official visits to China, which were previously sporadic, increased under Trump. Biden not only continued the path, but also threatened the red lines respected by the United States. Examples include the visit of Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi, voices calling for the blatant overthrow of the principle of “strategic uncertainty” or the retirement of the “one China” principle, which is a “spy waist” for Beijing. The official press often criticizes Washington’s cynicism; Nothing has changed in his policy towards Taiwan while proving the contrary. Drift inhibits optimism. Any problem between the two superpowers can be fixed except the Taiwanese one, and it seems like Washington won’t stop hitting China once it discovers its weak spot.
Last week’s military maneuvers were the largest in the Formosa Strait, an area where it is not lacking. It included the launch of missiles for the first time and the demarcation of six zones in front of the coast, which assumed a de facto blockade of the island. But a perspective look throws the drama off the balance of Nancy Pelosi’s visit. on the eve of China had promised “strong” military measures This marked the outbreak of a war with the United States. The escort of a congressman’s military aircraft or his forced landing on continental soil by Chinese fighters were, or very much like, acts of war, considered options by respected sinologists. It is a global relief and disappointment for Chinese nationalists that it all ended in that little military theater of pressed uniforms, shiny helmets and shiny helmets. a dozen missiles were launched to the bottom of the sea After Pelosi’s departure. Taiwanese disdain close war predictions Those who come from the West but are afraid of the economic bill. “I am worried that the stock market will fall or the Taiwan dollar will collapse. “I’ve been debating with my mom all week whether it’s safer to send my savings to China or the United States,” says Yang, a Taiwanese businesswoman in Beijing.
diplomacy
Taiwan finds itself in a paradoxical context: the constant transfer to China, official links His cause has become more visible thanks to the support of not only a dozen flyweight countries but also the United States and Japan, and some European voices. It is moving towards the “internationalization” of an issue that China sees as its own and carries enormous risks for Taiwan. The visit of a high-ranking representative of US politics represents a historic achievement for an island that struggles to be seen but also raises the danger of becoming an altruistic pawn in a hegemonic struggle. The realistic Taiwanese government recognizes that it cannot pin its future to the geostrategic coincidence of the United States, and will have to contend with this delicate balance between global exposure and its understandable desire to minimize risks.
Taiwan, a de facto country, not in law, in a temporary state has existed for decades. not suitable for Taipei nor for Beijing, but any tremor, a unilateral declaration of independence or a Chinese invasion looks dire. Taiwanese enjoy the most vibrant democracy in Asia and enviable living conditions despite China’s harassment, and only Washington’s intervention in the landscape jeopardizes the status quo.
Source: Informacion
