the winds are blowing timid change and fragmentation Lebanon. After an exciting election day, the preliminary results are a Support for Hezbollah dwindled and a divided Parliament. The defeat of the Shiite militias and their allies was offset by more votes, especially for the opposition. Lebanese Forces this becomes the main Christian party in the hemicycle. They are independents, with political groups emerging among them. 2019 protestsCelebrate the ten chairs achieved so far.
Hezbollah is moving away from the parliamentary majority. Despite low voter turnout this Sunday, 41%, voters voted as a sanction against Shia militias. As new results emerge, Hezbollah parliamentary majority This new trend, which has so far held 71 seats in its alliance since the last elections in 2018, predicts a very polarized Parliament. two practical opposite blocks. Hezbollah and its allies on the one hand, and Lebanese Forces partners on the other, would present a scenario similar to that of 2009.
Lebanese Forces determined opponents of HezbollahCelebrating the couple. With probably around 20 seats, compared to 15 seats in 2018, Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), an ally of the Shiite establishment. This party of President Michel Aoun won 16 seats, two less than in the last election. Therefore, many people consider these preliminary results a Sanction vote for Shiites the economic crisis causes them to lose some of their legitimacy based on resistance to Israel.
Between these two blocks, independent candidatesThe new names, in which the new political groups emerged after the revolutionary movement in the autumn of 2019, represent the hope for change and put an end to the mismanagement that has dominated the country for years. The great personalities who carried it fell been in power for decades, Like Druze politician Talal Arsan, an ally of Hezbollah who was first elected in 1992. south lebanon, the stronghold of the Shiite militias. At least a dozen independent profiles will occupy the space between both blocks.
“Elections they are not salvation for Lebanon and they won’t change the political system”, says the researcher Nadim El Kak To El Periódico, a newspaper owned by the same editorial group as this media. “This is a critical moment to stop confrontation and devote ourselves to proposing policy,” he adds. Such a smashed hemicycle government mandateIt can last for months, as is often the case in Lebanese politics. Moreover, this Parliament that is being created has the arduous task of making elections. a new president Aoun will leave her post on October 31.
In a country in economic depression, any delay in forming a government is further delayed. reforms they should open their support International Monetary Fund and donor countries. According to the United Nations, three out of every four people in Lebanon are below the poverty line. During the election campaign, there have been repeated cases. bribe and vote buying. “This is the poorest Lebanon since the famine in Lebanon. 1919″explains the teacher carmen geha to this magazine.
He adds that “networks of patronage are growing between a deliberately impoverished population, desperate people, and traditional parties.” There have also been cases vote fraud and manipulation these are being investigated. Many counties are still waiting ballot boxes from embassies and some were deleted in a move in their favor establishment politician. Much of the support from the diaspora, which has expanded with the crisis over the past two and a half years, goes to independent and anti-sectarian candidates.