Erdogan starts as favorite in the second round of Turkey’s presidential election

Only a few hours remain until the presidential election in Turkey concludes with a historic runoff. Citizens must choose who owns them. minister for the next five years. Just two weeks ago, everything was showing that the opposition candidate, leftist Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, would win without the need for a second vote, but the facts turned the ballot box upside down and the current president Recep Tayyip Erdogan Although he did not reach the minimum points to conclude the election, he won by close to five percent. Now other candidates are expressing their support and plotting the country’s future in more and more detail.

President this Wednesday Victory Party, Ümit Özdağannounced its support for social democrat Kılıçdaroğlu. “As the Victory Party, we decided to support Kılıçdaroğlu in the second round,” he said at the press conference he held after meeting with Kılıçdaroğlu, the leader of the pro-fascist and ultra-nationalist party, in Ankara. Similarly, on Monday, extreme nationalist Sinan Ogan, Erdogan’s so far political ally and candidate for the Alliance of Ancestors, announced his support for Erdogan. Ogan, ex-member of the far-right Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) He took 5.28% in the first round and Özdağ’s line-up dropped to just over 2%. These new supports can upset the balance of the current president.

Battle to win votes

Despite being lagging behind, the opposition is seeking votes from all directions to lead the secular Social Democrat leader to victory in Sunday’s runoff. One of the sectors they seek votes for is especially among women. housewifes, the basis of Erdogan’s support. According to an Ipsos poll, its support within the collective reached 60% in the 2018 election, which is almost eight points more than the national vote.

Kılıçdaroğlu also promised to organize. refugee leaving the country, it is one of the hot spots that is currently heating up the Turkish political environment and gaining Özdağ’s support. “If you don’t want to be sad when your daughter goes out, if you want to send your son to the market safely at 21.30, support the politicians who will send 13 million refugees to their homeland and vote for Kılıçdaroğlu”, Özdağ said while showing his support to the opposition candidate. The number of refugees is not as high as in the country, but racism It has become one of the main assets of the opposition to reduce Erdogan’s popularity.

Erdogan, on the other hand, did not act so radically. immigration Despite demonstrating its intention to repatriate the majority of Syrian refugees. In this sense, the President gave the following assurance in his meeting with Ogan: He didn’t compromise to get your supportThe process of repatriation of Syrian refugees was discussed and the number of Syrians who returned to their homes in recent months is estimated to be 450 thousand. “We are working to guarantee their safe return,” Erdogan said.

On the other hand, Erdogan’s ability to stay strong in the regions in the south of the country affected by the earthquake may also be the key to his victory. Erdogan managed to win in the first round, promising new homes to voters in the affected areas by early next year. Despite the delay in rescue services after the earthquake and the destruction of thousands of buildings with their occupants, the seniority of the president and the poor access of the rural population to information and to media critical of the Government means that many continue to bet. on Erdogan.

Two future scenarios

It can wait for Turkey, depending on the outcome of the elections this Sunday. two different scenarios. If Erdogan comes to power for another five years, government agencies and the media and larger suppression of opposition. Probably inflation It remains high due to its preference for low interest rates, and internationally, it may continue to oppose its entry. Sweden in NATO and reintroduce yourself Mediator between Ukraine and Russia.

If Kılıçdaroğlu and his allies win the presidency instead, Will reverse the presidential system imposed by Erdogan to return executive power only refer the prime minister and president to a corporate position. The opposition wants to stifle the president’s veto, reduce the office’s ties to political parties, and ensure that the president is elected every seven years. His coalition assured him it would focus on reducing inflation to 10% and sending 3.5 million Syrian refugees home. Kılıçdaroğlu occasionally expressed his desire to restart Turkey’s long-running European Union membership process and to re-establish “mutual trust” with Turkey. United States of AmericaAfter years of strained relations during Erdogan’s tenure.

Source: Informacion

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