AI Impacts, a company that studies the long-term consequences of using artificial intelligence (AI), summarized the results of a large survey of nearly 3,000 machine learning experts. They were asked to describe scenarios of how people’s lives might change with the introduction of neural networks. The research was published in Computers and Society (CAS). portal scientific publications arXive.
The majority of respondents expressed their confidence that, thanks to artificial intelligence, we will achieve extraordinary achievements in literature, mathematics, music, architecture and various sciences.
At the same time, between 38% and 51% of survey participants said that, in their opinion, the probability of human extinction due to neural networks is at least 10%. Approximately 60% of experts evaluated this probability as at least 5%.
Talking about the threats posed by artificial intelligence, experts pointed out the ability of artificial intelligence to produce disinformation and influence public opinion; This is especially dangerous in connection with increasing authoritarian tendencies and declining freedoms around the world.
Despite this, 70% of survey respondents bet on positive scenarios and think they are more likely. Experts’ optimism is based on the growing capabilities of artificial intelligence.
Some scientists believe that by 2047 there will be a 50% chance that machines will achieve the ability to perform all possible tasks without human intervention, and that they will perform these tasks better and at lower cost than humans. Two years ago researchers believed this wouldn’t happen until 2060.
Previously British intelligence agencies warned It’s about a wave of hacker attacks using artificial intelligence.