The exchange rate of the US dollar can exceed 200 rubles. By 2025 on this Wrote Internet publication RBC Investments, with reference to the forecast of Anton Prokudin, chief macroeconomist of Ingosstrakh-Investments Management Company.
According to him, in 2024 the dollar will rise above 120 rubles by the end of next year – up to 124 rubles, then in 2025 it will approach 200 rubles.
Prokudin described the decline in the value of the national Russian currency as the fall in oil and other commodity prices.
“In 2024-2025, we are entering the main scenario where oil and other commodity prices fall by the end of 2024 and with the subsequent strengthening we get a very strong exchange rate transfer. As can be observed approximately during the last strong devaluation of 2014-2016. If you greatly simplify the system, you can simply multiply the old data by two. When the course was 30-35 rubles, it turned out to be 86 rubles. and returned to 55 rubles. If we multiply it by two, it turns out to be 60-70 rubles. in the modern paradigm, it costs about 190 rubles. “It’s within the limit and the return to 110 rubles,” said the chief macroeconomist of Ingosstrakh Investments Management Company.
At the beginning of March 2, Candidate of Economic Sciences, financial expert Vladimir Grigoriev allowed Strengthening of the US dollar to 77 rubles.