President of the Generalitat, Ximo Puig will open the political course with a demonstration this Monday in Valencia For the New Economics Forum where he will evaluate what we are doing through this legislature. Two days later, at another event organized by INFORMATION in Orihuela on Wednesday, Puig will discuss with a group of business people from a strategic region, but above all symbolic in the Community’s corporate imagination. The leader and candidate of the PP, Carlos Mazón, was in Barcelona last Monday, the press, which gave rise to all kinds of speculation about the chosen place, The truth is, as always, much more prosaic than analysis: if he intervened there, it was because he had watched Barça with his son at the Camp Nou the previous day. In the coming weeks, this carefully measured conference, supported by his party chairman Alberto Núñez Feijóo, will also take part in an important conference in Madrid. Valencia and Orihuela. Barcelona and Madrid. Ordinary circumstances aside (Puig’s speech tomorrow was originally prepared for a previous meeting with journalists that had to be suspended due to Santiago Grisolía’s death), scenarios dictate strategies: Puig wants to put his government here, to mobilize it. Away from the pollution that might come from Pedro Sánchez and the national chicken coop, just as Mazón wanted Feijóo’s sponsorship and government agency’s blessing. In 2019 (although Mazón was not involved in these duties at the time), the opposite happened. Politics is a dynamic profession.
The only candidates are Puig and Mazón We already know that they will be at the top of their party’s lists in the regional elections, which should be held before the summer and will most likely be called on May 28, which will coincide with the municipal elections. This also gives an idea of the moment of confusion we experienced, because eight months after the election nothing similar had happened. Among the supporting actors we have always distinguished those who, even in the absence of the formal procedure imposed by the relevant statutes, distinguished themselves by embodying each option. But now for the first time we don’t know who will lead Comprom’s bid, all we know is, It won’t be Monica Oltra. We also have no idea who will be piloting United We Can, assuming it continues to be United and We Can. Not Vox. Nor Ciudadanos, but at this point no one cares anymore. This is no trivial matter, given that he did not think any political option alone could add, or even come close, to the 50 seats that secured an absolute majority in the Valencian Courts. This means that the secondary will still be decisive for the resolution of the plot.
Puig is once again faced with the baton paradox: neither with you nor without you my ills are incurable. There are not a few people who advise him to seek the absolute majority.
I think it’s all about Survey released this weekend by PSPV-PSOE to start exercising. Secondary. It is true that the survey, drawn in chalk lines and detailed in the information signed by my colleague Miguel Ángel Rives, left Puig in a fantastic starting position and did not go overboard. Knowledge and thought increase in Mazón and PP is the party that grows the most. But Puig is far above Pedro Sánchez (needless to say, he is also Mazón), he is the only politician in the Community to approve, his government’s administration is applauded by the majority of citizens, his party increases the number of MPs and the distribution of seats with the most votes and predicted by the report Generalitat secures another legislature at the head of ValencianaWith a parliament that will go to only four groups out of six, as Ciudadanos and Podemos have been sacked for failing to reach the 5% minimum of votes set by tough Valencian legislation. The courts, where the right-wing bloc of PP and Vox would be less than one MP from what it currently holds, almost at the expense of representation, although the popular ones do not double their representation. those of Arrimadas.
If the PSOE survey, which predicts four more years of left-wing government, is trying to encourage anyone, it’s not Compromís voters rather than socialist voters.
Undoubtedly, all this will encourage socialist militants and sympathizers, at least as much as the PP has applauded the poll announced by Mazón last July with a public opinion poll that reinstated the Generalitat’s chairmanship, as well as a Parliament without Citizens and Podemos suspect. in the count up to the last vote, but where unequivocally the sum of PP and Vox gave an absolute majority To the right-wing bloc ahead of the Botànic pact. But it seems to me that, in any case, if the PSOE poll, which predicts that the left will stay in power for another four years, is trying to encourage anyone, it’s not Compromís voters rather than socialist voters. Because the poll tells them that they can regain the third place they lost in the previous elections in the hands of Ciudadanos and that after the unstable policy of the coalition during the pandemic, the disaster many feared (consisting of being the main opposition). the same government they were part of) and Consell’s vice-president Mónica Oltra’s traumatic departure from public life may not be too much. The study gives them that they fell between one and three seats (it was just missing) when there were polls predicting a loss of up to seven. In short, the PSOE report keeps them a “thing”, malgré lui.
PSOE (same as PP, because they are the same) is not a party that willingly leaves room. Rather, his natural desire is to occupy what he can. If the Socialists, after all, are distributing a poll where the Compromise turns out so well, it is because regardless of the credibility each wants to give to the numbers reflected in it.Ximo Puig is once again faced with the copla paradox: There is no cure for my cures, neither with you nor without you. There aren’t a few people advising the Consell president to call an absolute majority for himself. Not that he’s giving up on the deal, but he’s stopping to talk about Botànic. Ask voters enough support for just one PSOE government. Let him benefit not only from the weakness experienced by both Compromís and Podemos, but also from the fact that these elections are made on the basis of trust. And even among right-wing voters (I said right, not even centre-right) it inspires more confidence than Carlos Mazón can credit today. There are even those who encourage him to actually play: anticipating regional ones and celebrating them alone, apart from municipal elections, because PP is better prepared against local elections than PSOE (which doesn’t even have candidates). yet in the Community’s two largest cities), but the PSOE is better equipped to run for Consell elections where the PP still lacks teams beyond being a candidate.
PP better prepared to face municipalities and PSOE better equipped for regional ones
I don’t think Puig will listen to these allegations. Rather, it’s what Puig has been dealing with with sickle and kick, as the survey itself and some key gestures we’ve already seen and will see will increase in the coming months. Operation by Salvem Comprom. He is now determined to go to the polls, just as he dissipated in 2019 to overlap the regional ones with the general ones and then, after a rising Pedro Sánchez, advancing to catch Compromís on the wrong foot. Let Mayors vote on the same day because while it’s not clear that this will give the PSOE any benefits, Compromis guarantees a better outcome.
It turns out that not everything depends on when and with whom the elections are held. But about how the crisis in Compromise has developed and what perception remains among citizens. If Puig wants Compromise to be a lever, not a burden, He needs voters who can trust him so that the nationalist coalition does not stop voting for him out of fear of what he might do in a new government. And in parallel, the coalition itself is opening up to new electoral niches and is once again capable of capturing the young progressive voters it reigns over. But this is because in the battle within Compromís the arguments of those representing a more moderate, pragmatic and innovative line, such as Consell’s “second”, Aitana Mas or others, prevailed. Raquel Tamarit, the new Minister of Education, clans that resist any change beyond the orthodoxy of the old guard and still believe that Oltra’s chair must be saved. And also because all this is understood not as submission, but as an impulse. because The line between the boost Puig wants to stage and the vampirization is very thin.As well as historically, suspicions among leftist formations have been intense. The only thing missing is for Vice President Yolanda Díaz to arrive in Sumar and eventually land.
Mullah: How far will the flood reach?
Speaking of Compromís, it doesn’t matter if we’re talking about Tyrians or Trojans because of the confusion in the coalition, the behavior of Elche Minister Mireia Molla. His absence from the fires this summer has already sparked a strong debate internally and externally. He claimed that although he was the Head of Agriculture, Rural Development, Climate Emergency and Ecological Transformation, he did not go to the burning areas (i.e. he did not have a diploma to come first) because he was against taking action. this way, and preventing the emergency teams from working, in addition to putting those at the foot of the canyon in a difficult position, it would only have continued if he had provided evidence that he was working from somewhere else. on what should happen. And if we didn’t have the example of DANA that devastated Vega Baja in 2019 and left the forum. But his failure to go to the Marina Alta area and meet with the mayors of the areas affected by the fire, as he is doing now, on the pretext of timing issues, cannot be justified in a policy he has lived through. If we add to this the rudeness and infighting that both he and his father Pascual Mullah, one of the founders of the nationalist coalition, have been involved in in recent months, it is not surprising where the lingering problem lies. would you like to go? Or sorry, how far will the flood go?