Germany’s major economic problems, and likely even greater problems in the future, create space into which Poland could enter. If this does not happen, it will only be due to the current government’s submissive attitude towards Berlin and the suspension or cancellation of major investments such as the CPK.
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The sick man of Europe
Due to its long-term and structural economic problems, Germany has been called the sick man of Europe. They have been in a recession for more than a year, the problems are not going away and new ones keep appearing on the horizon. Lately, they have mainly influenced everything related to manufacturing and transportation-related services.
Horrible energy prices are driving the car industry out of Germany. China’s expansion, especially when it comes to electric vehicles, is truly frightening among manufacturers. The President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, who serves German industry, even announces retaliatory measures by the EU against the Middle Kingdom.
Another problem is created by eco-terrorists who remain almost completely unpunished in Germany. This is not surprising, since the ruling coalition also includes the Greens, who are in a climate frenzy. Left-wing gangs set fire to equipment and elements of the energy infrastructure near Grunheide and cut off electricity to several tens of thousands of residents and Tesla’s electric car factory. The company estimates losses at hundreds of millions of euros. Several arsons hit other factories.
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The expansion of Tesla’s factories is blocked, so Elon Musk is already thinking about withdrawing from Germany. In this way a space is created that other countries can enter, and that is why there is talk in Britain of convincing the entrepreneur to move his production from Germany to Britain. It is expected that 61% of German industrial companies are at some stage of moving production abroad.
The next major problems mainly occur in transport. The big strike season is coming. At least that’s what Hagen Lesch of the German Economic Institute predicts, who claims that 2024 will be a record year when it comes to worker protests. In 2023, the so-called expansion scale was the highest since 2000. This year it has increased even further, as evidenced by the ongoing strikes on the railways and in aviation. Trains stop constantly, planes don’t fly and the biggest airports – Munich, Frankfurt, Berlin – are constantly paralyzed.
No solutions on the horizon
There are no indications that deeper problems have been solved. Unions are demanding reductions in working hours without lowering wages. The working week would be 35 hours. It is impossible to escape the impression that Donald Tusk’s proposals to consider shortening the time in Poland are to some extent a response to the demands of German unions and companies. Shortening working hours in Germany means a decrease in the competitiveness of the German economy. To alleviate this, working hours in Poland may be reduced, which will cause Polish companies to lose some of their competitive advantage in terms of labor costs.
German pilots and stewards are demanding pay increases and compensation of 3,000 euros per employee. Likewise, tens of thousands of ground workers earn at least €500 per month, plus a premium for inflation. In addition, wage agreements in many industries will expire in the coming months. The year 2024 is unique in that respect, because discussions about employment conditions and new wage agreements are expected to cover as many as 12 million employees. In September, collective bargaining will begin in the metals and electricity sectors – the largest tariff sector with more than 3.6 million employees. By the end of the year, representatives of 2.4 million federal and state civil servants will come to the table for talks.
This could have a domino effect. If the demands that are now being met are met, all other trade organizations will notice this and radicalize their own attitude. Its fulfillment could drag the German economy into an even deeper recession.
Infamous German Pünklichkeit – German punctuality has become a memory or a term of derision in recent months – sarcasm, irony. German transport has been in chaos for several months and no one knows whether it will arrive or fly home, etc. on time. These problems affect not only Germans, but also residents of much of Europe, whose residents fly, send or receive goods from German airports. The country, which is experiencing structural and permanent economic problems, may no longer be able to fulfill its role as a major transport and transit center in our part of Europe.
Germany is building up demand for the Central Communication Port on its own. Every strike in Germany, every demand for shorter working hours, wage increases and compensation should encourage the Polish government to continue this investment as intensively as possible. Poland faces a great opportunity not only to regain and build the transport potential for itself, but also to create it for the countries in our part of Europe. Should we use it? Everything indicates that we will waste it, because we have a government that will sacrifice the well-being of its own citizens for Berlin and the EU.
Source: wPolityce