The media pressure on the president to entrust Donald Tusk with the mission of first forming a government is in full swing. Opposition politicians and journalists claim that this is just a time game, that “248” (PO-TD-L MPs) is more than “194” (PiS) and that PiS’s attempts to form a government are doomed to fail. Propaganda for the not so smart people says that PiS needs time to destroy documents that are inconvenient for them (as if someone did not know that electronic circulation has been in use for a long time). But in politics you never say ‘never’. That is why PiS is actually holding talks with individual opposition politicians. Not very successful, but there are two small communities that want to work together. The number of sabers is still not enough, but in the future, near or far – who knows? This time is not wasted in the United Right.
The dynamic history of the past three years proves that there can always be a black swan – an unexpected event, usually negative, that changes the face of politics (Covid, Russian invasion), and then It would be better for the next Horseman of the Apocalypse to find Morawiecki than Tusk in the Polish Prime Minister’s Chancellery.
However, there are other reasons to entrust Tusk with the mission of forming a government as late as possible.
First of all, programmatically and personally, the opposition divides more than it unites. Standpoints and a fanatical anti-PiS ideology are one thing, but the idealists of the Razem party will have a hard time tolerating the super-liberal, big sellout Tusk, and moreover, post-Solidarity members of the PO will agree with the Marshal of the Sejm of PZPR is also not that easy. Finally, personal misunderstandings and regional conflicts of interest are on the rise, and not just programmatic assumptions. Time is against them.
Secondly, from the point of view of the Polish raison d’être Any delay in the European Union’s centralization process makes sense – and Tusk’s government is ready to agree to the conclusions of a special report proposing changes to the treaties – the loss of the veto right and the expansion of Brussels’ powers are only the tip of the iceberg in the planned ‘ reform’ of the EU. A European Council meeting took place on October 26 and 27, at which Poland was still represented by the old team. During these two days, the following topics were discussed, among others: the issue of migration to Europe, but they remained generalities. It was impossible to enforce the open-door policy with the PiS government. Among the new topics there was also concern about the “critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea” (conclusion no. 27). Yes, the failure of the Nord Stream worries Brussels, but as long as Warsaw is ruled by PiS, Poland will not worry too much about it. Every additional week of PiS rule is a handbrake on Brussels’ obsession with rebuilding the EU.
Thirdly – according to the statement of Wojciech Czabanowski and Wojciech Mucha (“Dziennik Polski” 29/07/2021), Germany plans to appoint Tusk as President of the European Commission, so that the interests of Berlin are represented by someone from the “new Europe” will be pushed. . Ursula von der Leyen’s term of office expires next year, so a new person will be elected Tusk’s clock is counting down the next days and weeks of helplessness against the still ruling PiS government. If the possible premiere is less than a year away, the more slices you cut of this salami, the better.
Fourth, the United Right is making attempts – so far quite effective – to block cuts. Among the politicians of the Civic Platform and the Third Way, there are ideas to limit the ‘Osiemset plus’, privatize Orlen and perhaps even liquidate TVP. With the new year they have less time and fewer tools for this.
Fights over shredders and assurances that PiS is using the power of the last days to make some money only arouse negative emotions among the political opponent and obscure much more serious reasons for the current slowdown. The ball is in play, the match continues.
Source: wPolityce