The biggest winner of recent weeks in Polish politics is undoubtedly Confederation. This group firmly established itself on the podium, clearly ahead of the other middle class players. In the cyclical listing for the portal wPolityce.pl, the party of Mentzen, Bosak and Braun received for the second week in a row 14 percent indications.
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What will the Confederacy do if the majority in the next Sejm depends on it? Will he form a coalition with Law and Justice or will he oppose the opposition of the Third Polish Republic? Laboratory Social changeson behalf of the portal wPolityce.plhas done an interesting study on this.
We asked the respondents the following question:
What do you think – with which group will Konfederacja form a coalition, if it depends, who will get the majority in the Sejm after the next parliamentary elections?
The largest group of respondents – to 47 percent – she chose the answer: “The Confederacy will not join the coalition and remains independent”.
opinion 40 percent questioned, the Confederacy will become a coalition partner Law and justice.
13 percent of respondents believed the Confederacy would support the government Civil Coalition.
The details look interesting. Among voters of the United Right (65 percent), citizen coalition (56 percent) and Poland 2050 (51 percent) the prevailing view is that the Confederacy will be associated with Law and Justice. However until 71 percent of Confederate voters believe it will remain independent in the next Sejm.
Such an attitude of the voters of the Confederacy certainly will erode the position of party leaders, provided they maintain high levels of support until the election. On the other hand, the day after the vote, the world is already different, a it can be difficult to resist the temptation to co-rule, even indirectly. It is also possible that internal disputes, divisions and even splits await the Confederacy. Such a diverse grouping can maintain the unity of a circle or small club, but when there are a few dozen delegates, things get complicated.
READ: What do the polls show? Grabowski in Salon Dziennikarski: The high position of the Confederation is interesting. It could be a yellow card
The research was conducted using the CAWI method (Computer Assisted Web Interview) from June 30 to July 3, 2023, on an online panel, on a nationwide, representative (in terms of: gender, age, size of residence) sample of Poland . N=1093 people participated in the study.
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Source: wPolityce