If elections to the Sejm were held next Sunday, the United Right would receive 37.5 percent of the vote. vote, and the Civic Coalition 29.9 percent. New Left, Polska2050, Konfederacja and PSL-Koalicja Polska would also enter the Sejm, according to the Estimator poll for dorzeczy.pl.
PiS retains its advantage
According to this poll, support for the New Left was 9.1 percent, for Poland 2050 – 8 percent, for the Confederation – 6.8 percent, and for the Polish People’s Party – 6.6 percent. Kukiz’15 were below the electoral threshold with the support of 1.1 percent. and Agrounia/Agreement at 0.7 percent. On the other hand, 0.3 percent of the respondents declared to vote for other parties.
Such results would mean that after the distribution of seats in the Sejm, the United Right would have 215 seats, the Civic Coalition – 150, the New Left – 31, Poland2050 – 30, the Confederation – 18, the PSL-Koalicja Polska – 15, and a mandate to a other party (German minority – PAP).
Participate in a coalition?
The estimator also asked for support in case of a coalition running in the elections – United Right with Kukiz’15 and Polski2050 with PSL-Koalicja Polska.
In this arrangement, the ZP/Kukiz’15 coalition would receive 38 percent of the vote. votes, KO – 27.9 percent, Polska2050 together with PSL-Koalicja Polska – 15 percent, New Left – 8.8 percent, Confederation – 6.9 percent, Impartial Local Government – 2.5 percent, Agrounia/Agreement – 0, 8 percent, and other parties 0.1 percent.
Translated into seats in the Sejm, this would give the following number of seats: United Right/Kukiz’15 – 211, KO – 137, Polska2050/PSL-Koalicja Polska – 68, Nowa Lewica – 29, Konfederacja – 14 and MN – 1 .
Estimated turnout would be 56 percent.
The survey was conducted on February 23-24 of this year. on a nationally representative sample of 1,037 adults using the CATI method of computer-assisted telephone interviews. According to Estimator, the results presented included only individuals who declared they would vote and specified which party they would vote for in the Sejm elections.
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wkt/PAP
Source: wPolityce