The organizers of the Munich Security Conference have published their annual report. Its central theme was the growing rivalry between different views of international order, which the authors of this study reduced to the formula “democracy versus autocracies.” report published on area conferences.
The key part of the report is the Munich Security Index. With its help, the authors of the report evaluate how citizens of different countries perceive different risks. In October-November 2022, researchers conducted a survey of residents of the BIKS group (Brazil, China, India, South Africa) as well as 12 G7 member states (UK, Germany, Italy, Canada, USA, France, Japan). and Ukraine.
The study participants were 12,000 people, with 1,000 people from each state being interviewed. On a scale of zero to ten, they were asked to rate 32 risk categories ranging from power supply outages, economic crisis and trade wars to threats from Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, the United States and the European Union. The report included five questions: how great is the risk for their country, will it rise or fall over the next 12 months, how great will the damage be, how inevitable is the risk, how ready is the country?
Thus, the number one source of risk is Ukraine (81 points out of 100), Germany (78 points), Japan (74 points), France (70 points), Canada (69 points), and the USA (66 points), Russia. In England and Italy, the Russian Federation ranks second and sixth, respectively. In the BIICS countries, the risks from the Russian Federation are considered much lower: they took 19th place in the South African list (57 points) – the most dangerous thing in this country is the crisis of energy supply, financial, economic and food; In Brazil, the Russian factor was placed 22nd (48 points) – they are most concerned about global climate change, forest fires and destruction of their natural habitats; In China, Russia ranks 30th (33 points) – the Chinese are most afraid of the coronavirus pandemic, other upcoming epidemics, as well as “the use of nuclear weapons by the aggressor”; In India, the Russian Federation also took the 30th place (27 points) – in this state, global climate change, China and the “use of nuclear weapons by the aggressor” were among the biggest risks.
Christoph Heusgen, Former President of the Munich Security Conference declarationThat Russian representatives were not invited to the upcoming conference. According to him, the state that “tramps international law” does not deserve to be invited to the event. The organization does not want to “give Russia a platform for performances”.
The conference will be held on 17-19 February this year.