PiS has the most loyal electorate – 85 percent. of those who voted for this party in 2019 would vote again. With KO this percentage is 79%. voters as of 2019, the group lost due to the creation of Szymon Hołownia’s party – according to the analysis of polls prepared by IBRiS for Radio ZET.
On Monday, Radio ZET published an analysis of party polls conducted between November 2022 and January 2023 on behalf of IBRiS.
PiS with the most loyal electorate
According to the analysis, among the parties on the Polish political scene, PiS has the most loyal electorate – 85 percent. of people who declare they voted for PiS in the 2019 parliamentary elections still want to vote for this party. The remaining 15 percent of voters as of 2019 would vote for Konfederacja (1%) or doubt (14%).
It is among other things because of their votes that the political battle will take place during the election campaign
– indicated in the report of the study.
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KO loses to other parties
Second place was taken by the Civic Coalition, voted in favor by 79 percent of voters. voters as of 2019.
However, KO loses voters to other opposition parties – 11 percent. wants to vote for Poland 2050, 3 percent. for PSL-KP, 2 percent. for the New Left, and 1 percent. to write. Still unsure who to support 4 percent. people
– indicated in the communiqué.
As highlighted, the IBRiS analysis shows that “only the rest of the opposition, and the citizens’ coalition, have lost the most from the appearance of Szymon Hołownia’s group on the Polish political scene.”
Poland 2050 can count on 11 percent. former KO voters, 8 percent. – PSL and Kukiz’15, 7 percent. – Left and 3 percent. – Confederation. There are no PiS voters in this group in 2019
we are reading.
67 percent of 2019 left-wing voters declare their continued support for the party.
The left loses its supporters to KO (21%), Poland 2050 (7%) and Konfederacja (2%). Only 3 percent of the respondents have no specific electoral preference
– results of the analysis.
Further support for the Polish/PSL coalition is explained by 68 percent. voters from 2019 (then the group ran together with Kukiz’15). At that time, 9 percent of KP/PSL voters expressed their support for the upcoming KO elections, 8 percent. – Poland 2050, 4 percent. – Confederacy, 2 percent. – PiS, and 1 percent. – Left. While 8 percent of KP/PSL voters remain undecided.
As indicated, “The Confederacy has the least loyal electorate.”
Only 57 percent of 2019 voters would still vote for this formation. 13 percent would support PSL-KP, 8 percent. – KO, and 3 percent. Poland 2050
we are reading.
Significantly, however, a whopping 19% of 2019 Confederate voters are still hesitant about how to manage their vote. It is also over them that the election battle will take place
– emphasized.
IBRiS adds that the analysis performed for Radio ZET was based on aggregated measurements of electoral preferences from November and December 2022 and January 2023 – more than 9,000 interviews in total – conducted using the CATI method (by telephone interview) on representative national samples
kk/PAP
Source: wPolityce