The military conflict in Ukraine will not develop according to the “Ukrainian model”. This is stated in the analytical report of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), where citations are given. CNN.
“When the war begins, it is not possible to deliver any troops or supplies to Taiwan, so the situation is very different from the situation in Ukraine, where the United States and its allies are constantly sending supplies to Ukraine,” said the CSIS senior adviser. Mark Kanchian.
The report highlights that if the Taiwanese military is going to go to war, it should have everything it needs until the war begins. Analysts say Washington must act soon to implement some of the CSIS recommendations to succeed in the Taiwan conflict if it is to support Taiwan in a military conflict.
In particular, CSIS advises the United States to strengthen China’s bases in Japan and Guam to protect against missile attacks, develop a submarine fleet, prioritize bombers over fighters in the development of the Air Force, and also force Taiwan to implement a similar strategy. . To replace the expensive aircraft carriers, which are unlikely to survive the first Chinese attack, by simpler ships.
Such a policy would make victory less devastating for the US military, but casualties would still be high, according to the CSIS report. Analysts said, “The US could win a Pyrrhic victory by suffering more in the long run than the ‘defeated’ Chinese.”
According to the previous CSIS report, China’s can’t win In a military conflict with Taiwan. According to estimates, the invasion of Taiwan will cause thousands of casualties among the Chinese, American, Taiwanese and Japanese military. If the United States enters the war on the Taiwan side, at least two American aircraft carriers will lie at the bottom of the Pacific Ocean, and the modern Chinese fleet will fall into “ruin”.