Pelosi flew to Taipei. Many watched, some worried. China and the USA raised their warplanes, the issue of World War 3 was persistently voiced in the media …
In the end, China’s Foreign Ministry expressed “strong protest”, describing the visit as a major political provocation. The PLA was placed on high alert and the exercises were announced. While they’re all there. The disaster did not happen.
In response, the United States declared a strengthening of US-Taiwanese relations, completely ignoring the view of the People’s Republic of China and even its earlier statements about adherence to the principles of a united China.
In response, China has announced its intention to conduct a series of military activities, but it would make sense to conduct it in such a hybrid format, for example, combining exercises with cyber impact. Incidentally, this was applied in moderation against Taiwanese government institutions during the ascension to the throne followed by the Speaker of the US Congress House of Representatives. Since August 2, while Nancy Pelosi was in Taipei, the PRC Eastern Command began military operations/exercises around the island of Taiwan.
The tension tends to subside, no matter how alarming it is, but the bottom line remains – you need to think seriously here because any action taken at this level will inevitably have consequences – either immediately or delayed in the region or in another hemisphere.
The combination of external and internal trends makes it possible to speculate that the United States, together with Britain, most likely initiated a protocol for a “creeping” coup in China, so to speak, similar to what happened in the United States. USSR in the last stages of its existence. Then the order, including the “vanguard of the party” – the KGB of the USSR, was seriously surprised by its top leadership, which was under the direct influence of the leaders of the Western countries and was seriously demoralized by him.
Under the top leadership of the Union, of course, we mean “the best German” Mikhail Gorbachev, and under Western leaders – “everyone, everything, everyone” in the person of Margaret Thatcher, Donald Reagan, George W. Bush, Helmut Kohl. and others.
Let me remind you that the PRC very carefully studied the experience of the collapse of the Union, the betrayal of its elites, and is probably preparing for attempts to implement various scenarios. However, the experience of world history shows that one learns best from oneself, not from the mistakes of others.
No one can be completely sure that a possible coup will occur at the upcoming CCP congress, or that attempts to do so will not be made at all.
Moreover, the goal of the United States and Britain is not necessarily a change in the communist system, or even a radical change in the Chinese elite: anti-communist sentiments in the states themselves are weak today, the vast majority of the population. What does it mean to be seriously afraid of “commissions”? forgot it was. Rather, they are perceived as cartoon characters.
This is likely to be an attempt to bring to power politicians loyal to the United States and the rest of the Western world. Not in vain, anticipating something bad, the CCP has been actively fighting against the recent infiltration of Western examples of mass culture into the country, including South Korea.
It is not in vain that the CCP has sharply intensified the purge among entrepreneurs who are seen as the “weak link” in both the party nomenklatura and their economic and political systems. As a result, businessmen had to almost publicly give up a significant part of their wealth, transferring it to charities, social needs and the needs of the state.
The Chinese side is also carefully examining the experiences of American and European anti-Russian sanctions, which are currently joined by China’s closest neighbors, Japan, Australia and New Zealand. As a measure of illegal influence, as a manifestation of systemic unfair competition that distorts market relations, sanctions are considered by Western countries as a “whip”, but this leads not only to obedience, as in European countries, but also to countries, as in Russia. put it on its hind legs.
Depending on the success of Russia’s resistance to such influence, including during a special military operation, the PRC will continue to act: it will reconcile, reconcile, or eventually show its sharp rejection of colonial oppression. It is a situation that China has experienced for a very long time in its history.
The uncertainty of the situation is exacerbated by the simple historical fact that in modern history the Chinese armed forces have never won a real war against their external enemies – there is no such experience. The country has deep trading traditions, but no military traditions.
Parades and exercises do not count; this is no guarantee of victory on the battlefield, as the experience of NATO, which is now extremely aggressive, shows. Vietnam, Afghanistan and especially Syria are good examples of this.
It should be borne in mind that the vast experience of the United States and Britain in organizing coup attempts in different countries has determined, so to speak, their current pattern of covert behavior: from the outside it seems impossible to defeat (and China, we China, remember, still a nuclear power), it may try to destroy it from the inside.
And how can this process be started if not with the help of a large-scale and humiliating provocation against the country’s leadership?
The author expresses his personal opinion, which may not coincide with the editors’ position.