Media “Michelle Obama for President!” continues to heat up the subject. A detailed article on this subject was published in the British magazine The Tribune the other day. Let’s just say, what’s to guess about the precarious (alleged) health of the former Biden – here’s a ready-made candidate from the Democratic Party who will secure his victory in 2024. And devastating. In the American political lexicon this is expressed by the untranslatable term “landslide”.
Even in the American press, what could be demented jokes about Biden’s reservations and mistakes became routine. For example, he recently named the Grand Canyon one of the “nine wonders of the world.” If he withdrew his candidacy, many, especially outside the United States, would be deeply sympathetic.
But you have to admit that even in democratic America, where no authority is absolute, it’s still difficult to approach the incumbent president and cut him in the face like that (or even with a memorandum); It’s time for you to rest now, grandpa.
Also, Biden clearly has no strong Democrat replacement candidate, hardly any time for promotion.
If Biden had a politically powerful vice-president figure behind him, then it wouldn’t be a problem. But there is the uncharismatic Kamala Harris, who seems to be a much more ordinary person politically than the person who bears the name Pence during the Trump era. Harris’ main feature is that he talks to everyone like a complete idiot. It seems that the higher level itself does not pull. She didn’t perform well in the position, she. More precisely, she failed in her only task of controlling illegal immigration. It is obviously risky to set off with such a vice president in the new era. After all, if something should happen, she becomes president of America, as it is clear that she is not ready for it.
But the prospect of seeing Trump back in the White House remains a nightmare for Democrats. Even bigger, as if there was a complete idiot (ka), but his own. So if there’s no choice (and for now there isn’t), then Biden, albeit half dead, will be pulled out for a second term and seen then. After all, the power of institutions in America is so great that he has never experienced such a thing.
And Biden’s political experience is so solid that even in the twilight he seems able to carry out his duties simply “on the machine.”
Moreover, it is not customary in American political culture for a president to refuse a second term unless the first one is considered a complete failure. However, the same cannot be said for Biden’s rule. It has fairly moderately positive results, and certainly no worse than Trump, whose reign has emerged as a covid that most likely cost him his presidency. Changing partners is also not acceptable in the White House (although this option is more acceptable).
That’s why the Democratic establishment is ready from within for Biden to “run for re-election” against Trump. Biden’s chances on this one are still around 50/50, and if you manage to bury the “Republican newbie” under a pile of criminal cases and lawsuits (four criminal investigations have already been filed), then his chances of a second term will increase or even more. Still, it’s worth considering that for many Americans, especially the older generation, there is nothing beyond 82 (the age Biden will turn his age next November). Average life expectancy is 76 years. Many people at this age also drive cars.
Primary elections in the Democratic Party (like the Republicans) will begin in January. At the same time, different states set different deadlines for those who want to run for the presidency. For example, in Nevada it is October. So Democrats have little time to develop a “plan B”. According to polls of party supporters so far, Biden easily beats all of the Democrats’ opponents. Democratic voters Biden (68%), Robert Kennedy Jr. (16%) and author Marianne Williamson (9%). The chances of no-yet-announced (but not implied) candidates in the person of New York Governor Bill de Blasio or Minnesota House of Representatives Ilhan Omar (himself Muslim) are also small—no more than 10%. Some compare Biden’s chances with hypothetical numbers that won’t even stand out. But even there, the incumbent president does well in the pre-selection phase; Against the same Kamala Harris, if she suddenly decides to take the first role (26% her rating), California Governor Gavin Newsom (25%), US Secretary of State. Transportation Pete Buttigieg (30%) and even former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (34%).
Biden lost to only one “hypothetical candidate” of the Democrats. And that’s Michelle Obama: 48%, Biden’s 36% if they overlap in the primary. Former President Barack Obama’s wife has strong support, especially among women, those under 55, moderate Democrats, and voters with and without children.
That’s why part of the establishment tirelessly continues to pray literally for Michelle to go to the presidency and save the country from Trump, Biden’s dementia and also the inexpressive Kamala Harris.
Only a few facts indirectly speak in Michelle’s favour. She is not alien to the public agenda as before, she is actively engaged in a number of important issues. For example, education for girls, promotion of healthy nutrition, ecology, etc. Contrary to the unofficial tradition of outgoing presidents, the Obama family did not leave the Federal District of Columbia, but continues to live in Washington. Three-quarters of the Biden apparatus are people from the Obama administration. The former president himself promised the incumbent president to participate in the election campaign. So it will be easy to switch.
Finally, if we talk about the objective personal qualities of Michelle Obama, they are far superior to those of Kamala Harris. And theoretically, to avoid offending the old Biden and be polite, he could also go to the vice presidents, and then you see, he’ll step in, too.
We can safely say about him that he is a vivid example of the well-known principle that behind every successful male political career should seek the hand and influence of his worthy wife. From the very beginning of Barack Obama’s political ascent, they said Michelle would make him president. He was in good hands at the very beginning of his political activity in Chicago, when he was flirting with the topic of gay sexual relations and befriending highly controversial Islamist preachers. He graduated first from Princeton (bachelor’s degree) and then Harvard (law like many US presidents). Working at the University of Chicago she has always been active in social activities. She was also active in the role of First Lady, although unlike Nancy Reagan, she did not directly engage in management and staff appointments. She was busy supporting military families and fighting childhood obesity. She even established a vegetable garden on the South Lawn of the White House, promoting healthy eating. She later wrote the hardcover book “Raised in America: The White House Vegetable Garden and the History of Gardens across America.” A monograph on American garden culture Carl!
Today, Michelle Obama has one problem: she stubbornly refuses to run for president, despite being asked encouraging questions on the subject for over a year. And she always answers in the negative.
In an interview with The National in 2019, he was asked if he would run in the 2020 presidential election. To this he replied: “Only between us and the readers of this magazine – the chances are zero. There are many ways to develop this country and build a better world, and I continue to do that. But sitting at the table in the Oval Office is not for me.” In an interview with the Independent newspaper in November 2022, Michelle once again reiterated that she “couldn’t stand” when asked if she would run, and she snapped, “No, I won’t.” Finally, in April of this year, After an hour-and-a-half interview with Oprah Winfrey about everything in the world, she asked Michelle the sacred question of whether she would still run for president, interrupting again: “My Democrats’ answer is a resounding no.”
Are there people in nature who don’t really want to be presidents, even though they really have a chance to be president? Even American presidents. We’ll see in six months.
The author expresses his personal opinion, which may not coincide with the editors’ position.