Let’s see if the fig will fall

The countdown of the last six months before the municipal elections, whose dates are set on the calendar, started last Monday. And the questions outlined above were the questions that marked a week when the Madrid press began to speculate with the so-called early call of autonomous communities in the Valencian Community; that same day, Carlos Mazón had to present his credentials in the Kingdom’s capital. wrapped by feijoo. He continued with the reappearance of Mónica Oltra to let his party know that those who thought he was offside were at fault and to show that they could use the vice president. More also as a hostage and executioner of his enemies. And on Friday, it ended with Pablo Iglesias’ exhibition in the play, in which he starred at the INFORMATION Club, together with the former minister of the PP and a Member of the European Parliament. Jose Manuel Garcia MargalloThe control he maintained over Podemos in the Valencian Community: for every supporter of the PP who came to listen to Margallo in the constituency where he was at the top of the list, the purple leader had two followers, coming from all over the Community, and more into fascinating hand games where he lifted or calmed the room as he wished. he was paying attention.

Can Ximo Puig advance the elections instead of coinciding with the municipal elections on the last Sunday in May? From Palau, they assure you that early dissolution of Cortes is not on the table. Although not all those who surround the president think the same. Those who believe this is an option to be considered argue that the sooner it is done, the better, as all chances of a good outcome are limited by the elections being little less than a plebiscite around the figure of Puig. . Let’s say we put all the focus on the president, with no other ballot box next to him, who for the first time in history goes to elections only to decide on the Generalitat government. Officials point out that far from improving, the economic situation will continue to worsen in the coming months. And the internal struggles of possible partners Compromís and Podemos will also become more sensitive with each passing day. So before is better than after. This is an analysis that Pedro Sánchez’s advisers agree, knowing that the outcome of the municipal elections in Spain will mark his future as head of the Government of the country, and that caresses the idea that the elections had already been held in the Comunidad Valenciana and Puig. If it achieves a good result, the expectations of these municipalities will change significantly for the better for the PSOE.

Today, under the Generalitat’s presidency, they think it would be a serious mistake to encourage this progress. First of all, because, given the massive mobilization detected by right-wing voters, autonomous elections alone, without coincidental with other elections, would lead to a notable drop in turnout at a time when abstention hurts the left. But also because that image would be shattered if Puig trumps stability and concern for the needs of the citizens over that of his party and his associates, and if he calls for a vote in times of crisis despite having approved budgets. . Election by the Community of Valencia alone will cause national leaders to focus on it, distort the regional message and bring more of Pedro Sánchez’s shadow, something to be avoided here at all costs. And to the left of the PSOE (Compromís y Podemos), this progress can have a devastating effect: they are not ready to hold an election right now. If a possible defeat of the Nationalists and Podemitists would benefit the PSOE, the Socialists might still consider it. But everything seems to indicate that if this collapse occurs, Puig will not be able to reach enough seats to stay at the head of Consell. So when asked about all these, they answer no. Today, no one trusts anyone and everyone from the right and left is trying to prepare in order not to be caught unprepared for any scenario.

In an article by the director of El Confidencial, Nacho CarderoOn Monday, the direct pressure law was read from La Moncloa to Palau to push the elections forward, Carlos Mazón was speaking at a forum in Madrid. feijooMurcia presidents, Lopez Heritageand Castile-Leon, manucoand together ayuso He allowed Feijóo to appear at the entrance so that the “unity” photo he intended could be composed. However, it was a strange move because of the coldness of Feijóo’s presentation to Mazón, and above all because of a format in which the candidate to head the Generalitat Valenciana did not intervene to present his project, limiting himself to answering a questionnaire. previously agreed with the host of the event. In the first minutes, it was confusion, especially if anything had prevailed among the large group of journalists from Madrid who were heading to the hotel where the meeting was to be held. The result, however, was a panda flash for the media: in Madrid, although it was “quiet” in the Valencian Community, it is not being headlined that it is a process with the same intensity as the Catalan community. , as Mazón will win at Valencia. But it’s also true that PP gave the district leader a gift of many carats when the moderator gave the floor to the head of the AVE lobby. Vicente Boludaand openly expressed support for Mazón to become the next president of the Generalitat. And I say it’s a gift of many carats because until now Mazón has been haunted by the suspicion of failing to mobilize the big Valencian employers in his favour. So at last he returned from Madrid with his saddlebags loaded.

Despite this, the impression remains that PP is limited to putting itself under the fig tree. Count on the vegetative growth that the purging of Ciudadanos brings you. After the failure of Andalusia and the break with the United States, surrender yourself to rule with Vox, with the latest polls maintaining a higher-than-anticipated level of votes. MacarenaThis means that it is profitable for the far right in this Community to remain crouched. And wait for the fig to fall, either because Podemos didn’t come, because Compromís broke down, or because Puig’s unexplained decisions at the Water Council, such as his abstention on cutting Tagus-Segura, eroded his image in a constituency like Alicante. , decisive for the final score. I don’t know what timing the PP strategists have determined. But Mazón, who, like any good man from Alicante, continues to tear his schedule apart without ever showing the whole, knows that the figs are harvested in June. In May, most often they are still immature.