A recent survey from Russia’s All-Russian Public Opinion Research Center, VTsIOM, shows that a large share of politically engaged Russians would back President Vladimir Putin if elections were held next Sunday. About three out of four respondents said they would vote for him under that hypothetical scenario, signaling a strong base of support among the electorate surveyed by VTsIOM. VTsIOM survey data, 2024
Beyond candidate preferences, the same poll provides figures on expected turnout and the projected performance of other contenders in the upcoming race. The data offer a snapshot of how well the public understands the election and how viable different candidates appear within the forthcoming electoral cycle. VTsIOM report, 2024
An all-Russian telephone survey of 1,600 adults aged 18 and over found a high level of awareness about the elections, with roughly 85 percent of respondents indicating they knew the event was taking place. Of those surveyed, about 81 percent could correctly identify the month, year, and season of the election, while a smaller group, around 4 percent, could name only the year without specifying the broader timing. This suggests a solid base of civic knowledge and shows how information about the election is reaching the population. VTsIOM methodology notes, 2024
VTsIOM’s projections also include an anticipated turnout for early February 2024, estimated at roughly 76 percent. Within this projected turnout, about 62 percent of respondents stated they were definitely prepared to participate, while another 14 percent indicated willingness to vote under the right circumstances. These figures help outline the expected level of public engagement as the election date approaches and provide insight into potential participation across various demographic groups. Election projections, 2024
When looking at individual candidate indicators, the survey placed Putin’s current electoral standing at about 75 percent. By comparison, smaller shares favored other named figures: Vladislav Davankov of the New People party drew roughly 5 percent, Nikolai Kharitonov of the Communist Party about 4 percent, and Leonid Slutsky of the LDPR around 4 percent. While Putin led, the data show a range of preferences among voters and the potential for shifts as campaigns unfold. They also highlight how the leading figure resonates within the studied electorate. Candidate polling, 2024
All results are weighted to reflect key socio-demographic parameters, ensuring the figures approximate the broader population. With a 95 percent level of confidence, the maximum sampling error does not exceed 2.5 percent, underscoring the robustness of these estimates within the given sampling framework. The combination of awareness, stated readiness to vote, and candidate preferences from this survey offers a composite view of the electoral climate as the process moves forward, illustrating both the intensity of public interest and the distribution of support across the major actors in the race. Survey methodology, 2024