this The Communist Party of China will renew its ruling organs. 20th congress in a context that will begin tomorrow capital challenges both internal and external. Casuistry suggests the event will retire Xi Jinping, but only who will accompany him for the next five years is debated. They third term What party general secretary It is taken for granted after the constitutional reform that dynamits the limits imposed by the reform architect Deng Xiaoping to avoid excessive leadership.
Xi’s keynote speech three hours in previous editions, it is the item of first interest. The zero covid policy protecting China from global deaths seems like a problem that has no solution anymore. Not applicable in the medium term, but poor rural health prevents removal. Public fatigue and the economic toll are growing, yet three editorials in People’s Daily this week rule out a radical turn in defense of it. they are waiting measures to promote economic growthIt will be penalized by a three-month quarantine and other restrictions in Shanghai, which will lag behind official estimates for the first time in decades. References to “common prosperity” will not be lacking, it is a goal, a a more just and balanced society. Outside, the war in Ukraine has put China in an awkward position and pushed the European Union into hostility towards the United States.
“There has been discussion before on the economic approach, the zero covid policy, or whether adjustments to Taiwan are necessary, but congress will be in a moment. reaffirmation. We don’t have to wait for big changes. “This will be another moment of consolidation for Xiism,” said Xulio Ríos, former director of the China Policy Observatory.
no heir
The closing ceremony of the Politburo Standing Committee members will be the culmination of the traditional press parade in the East Hall of the Great Hall of the People. Seven people chosen by them 25 members of the Politburo. The parade of the last congress confirmed rumors about Xi’s intention to continue in office as he has no heir apparent. In this year, it is very important not to confirm their victory over other clans, but to measure their strength. generosity towards the defeated.
Its composition was decided by the elite at meetings behind closed doors before the party’s 2,300 delegates convened in the Great Hall of the People this Sunday. The relatively early dates of this conference, brief negotiations. The elaboration of the observer pools integrates with the ritual. Before joining the age criterion: At 68 it was time to retire. Rule will be deported Li Zhangshu and Han Zheng But Xi, who will continue with 69, with dynamite and multiplied variants. It is unclear whether the Prime Minister will follow suit. Li Keqiang, because his position became tense, which caused an understandable situation. burnout. Another related question is whether it can finally be entered. Standing Committee something like an heir. Chen Min’er, The party secretary in Chongqing would be that figure. His absence indicates that Xi plans to serve two five-year terms. Would have finished them with 79 years, same as now Joe Biden.
uninterrupted support
“Even those who were not with Xi in the past agreed that they should wholeheartedly support him,” says Stanley Rosen, a professor of political science at the United States-China Institute at the University of South Carolina. “They potential competitors they are no longer active. Jiang Ground (former president) is 96 years old and has serious health problems, Bo Xilai (Chongqing’s former trade minister and party secretary) is in jail, others have been purged, so it’s hard to see anyone who can challenge him,” he added.
In Chinese politics it is said that “the emperor reigns until he dies”. permanent mark from former presidents. The congress will mark the end of the Jiang and Shanghai clan’s influence in recent years. appointed as heir. Deng Xiaoping and maneuvered in the shadows for the next ten years hu jintaohowever, it succumbed to time and the anti-corruption campaign.
Xi changed the party’s rules, both written and non-verbal. He leads the country, the party and the army. And it will feed the organs of power with believers. Ríos argues that its relevance goes beyond these media successes. “What strengthens its position His rhetoric for this phase of modernization, which will end in 2049, is the consolidation of Xiism. It has created the axes of politics that will reflect its validity beyond its powers.”