Rise of far right in Italy scares Brussels

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All polls point to victory Giorgia Melony (45 years old, Rome) parliamentary election who is celebrating Italy this Sunday September 25. The leader of the populist and far-right formation brothers from Italy She may be the first woman to lead the third largest economy of the European Union after the elections, which were followed with great interest in European capitals. special “concern” in Brussels. “If I win, the fun is over for Europe,” he warned during a rally in Milan’s Duomo square last Sunday. While analysts agree that if he takes power there will be no radical changes or a full confrontation with Brussels, his words predict a tumultuous relationship with European institutions in which “national interests” will prevail.

“A far-right government with the Brothers of Italy at its core will reduce Italy’s influence in the EU and make relations more turbulent. But Italy will not be a new country. Poland anyone Hungary. The coalition program shows that Marine Le Pen with EU and NATO partners will be less confrontational than one” and, in any case, “he may not stay in power for long”, says Luigi Scazzieri. think tank European Reform Center assessing internal frictions and tensions between coalition partners as “inevitable” League Matteo Salvini and forza italy Silvio Berlusconi) could eventually result in the overthrow of an Italian far-right ruler.

“Without a vigorous pro-fascist campaign on social media after the vote, Meloni is very likely to adopt a more traditional political line towards Europe when he comes to power. He may soften his calls for Italian dominance to prevail. Carlo Bastasin, a foreign affairs expert at Brooking, said. In a recent analysis of what would happen if Meloni wins the election, Europe’s loyalty is,” he predicts. Contrary to the 2018 legislative campaign, in which Italians most recently went to the polls, no Italian entity advocated leaving the European Union, not even the one led by Meloni. three years later Pandemic and one recovery plan who will take you to Italy 192 billion something that is perhaps incomprehensible in bailout funds in the next six years.

In the footsteps of Poland and Hungary

who does not defend italexitNeither the exit from the euro nor the collapse of the EU, like other far-right parties, does not mean that there will be no turbulence. Given Meloni’s sympathy for Hungarian Prime Minister Víktor Orban and the ruling party Law and Justice (PiS) in Poland, and for sharing a bench with Vox in the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group. In the European Parliament, the concern in the European institutions is at its maximum about the possibility of having to deal with not only two but three countries forming some kind of anti-Brussels front. The head of the Socialists in the European Parliament said: “We’ll see what happens. Elections still need to be held, but of course we are worried because Italy is a fundamental country in the EU.” iratxe garciain the face of the eventual victory of a coalition determined to challenge their collective rights. LGBTI a naval blockade to prevent immigrants Y refugees arrive in Europe.

“We’ll stay vigilant. I found a video of the candidate (Meloni) who clearly assumes a close political affiliation with (Benito). Mussolini and authoritarianism and that scares us. Italy is an important country and in the face of the coming crisis, we need more Europe where people are convinced of it. The decision belongs to the Italians, but we will follow it very carefully because it is what lies behind this political sensitivity of Italian fascism. “If this authoritarian understanding of power returns to Italy, we will be the first to oppose it,” he said. Stephane Sejourne.

Immigration policy, rights…

It is not only alarming that a government led by the Brothers of Italy is pushing the wheels economically in Brussels. civil rights and libertiesin reform negotiations asylum and immigration policyExtremely slow progress in sanctions procedures against Hungary and Poland rule of law or in discussions of extending qualified majority voting (rather than unanimity) to avoid blocking decisions. There are also concerns about the effects of the far-right’s agenda on the financial stability of one of the main economies in the euro area. Public debt It reaches 150% of GDP.

The three coalition parties have made clear their interest in reviewing and renegotiating some of the terms of the Italian bailout to respond to the crisis and the boom in energy prices. While Meloni has made signs that she will follow in Mario Draghi’s footsteps and act financially responsibly if elected, it remains to be seen how she will marry that with her promises. tax deduction Y increase in public spending. Continuity is also expected on another very complex front, despite the reluctance of coalition partners such as Salvini: counter-sanctions Russia for the war in Ukraine. Despite her past admiration for Vladimir Putin, Meloni, a convinced Atlanticist, advocates military aid to Ukraine and punishment of the Kremlin, an element that could create friction in the government and further complicate negotiations in Brussels.

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