In April 1986, a group of twenty teachers met outside the National Council of Mathematics Teachers in the United States to protest the use of calculators in schools. “It will replace thought,” they said. Almost 40 years later, the scene repeats itself ChatGPTpopular system artificial intelligence (AI) is capable of simulating speech and human reasoning. Both scenes reflect the same truth: sooner or later, your work one to be affected algorithm.
During the last few years, robotization shaped by physical processes such as industrial processes labor market. as with InternetThis transformation will accelerate in the next decade with the advent of systems called generative artificial intelligence programmed to generate any type of text, image or sound based on user orders. That is, they automate cognitive tasks.
turn on AIThe company responsible for ChatGPT and now Microsoftpublished a study on Monday detailing the “significant economic, social and political consequences” of its creation. The report warns that up to 80% of the active population in the United States, at least 10% of their jobs, may suffer this normalization. technology. In 19% of cases, AI will have a much greater impact, affecting at least 50% of the tasks.
This study, personally published by OpenAI, not subject to scrutiny by the scientific community nor has it been confirmed, so you should treat its results with some skepticism. In addition, not all experts agree with his opinion. “This technology It will affect all areas. We will use it to write and send emails and it will definitely save us time, but it will not change most people’s lives,” he explained to EL PERIÓDICO DE CATALUNYA of the Prensa Ibérica group, Esteve AlmirallProfessor of Operations, Innovation and ‘Data Sciences’ at Esade.
artificial intelligence in the office
OpenAI launched ChatGPT in November. It managed to exceed 100 million monthly users in just two months, making it the fastest growing consumer app in history. Presented on March 15 GPT-4latest development enabling this ‘software’ higher performance and precision. The development of their capacities indicates that these vehicles promise more use, especially in the workplace. productivity. Therefore, Microsoft and Google They have integrated AI into all office applications.
Adoption of productive AI is growing at a dizzying pace and could disrupt the job market. This fear has led to the publication of other studies attempting to quantify this effect, but the results also await scrutiny. Two MIT researchers published a report earlier this month suggesting that using ChatGPT at work can increase productivity by 35%. Even if there is an increase in productivity, it remains to be seen whether this will have a positive effect on the worker. “We will produce more in less time and with higher quality, but the throughput will likely not change,” adds Almirall.
Most affected jobs
The investigation shows that the most exposed occupations will be those whose skills can be automated by machines. They point out that it will be the case of mathematicians, writers, journalists, auditors, web designers, engineers, data analysts or lawyers. “‘call centers’ could die and there could be a revolution in industries like legal GPT,” says Almirall.
The industries most likely to experience change will be computer hosting, publishing, information services, insurance companies, securities contracts, and scientific-technical services. OpenAI has already made lucrative deals with legal, financial and consulting firms to integrate its technology.
Almirall, contrary to what might happen in the USA, Spain The workforce impact of artificial intelligence will be less as it will be implemented more slowly. “GPT will be used as a personal assistant, but arrangement It will act as a barrier to having less impact on the workplace,” he says, pointing to an “opportunity” to streamline administrative bureaucracy. “From asking for building permits to paying fines, it can be automated.”
On the other hand, the study concludes from OpenAI that other more physical occupations such as cooks, farmers, mechanics, carpenters, athletes, electrical mechanics or bricklayers will not be threatened by the rise of large corporations. language models Like ChatGPT. However, this does not mean that these jobs are guaranteed in the future, as they can be affected by technological developments such as robotization.
The report does not directly refer to job loss by “exposure”, but rather to the possibility that the machine could help reduce the time it takes a human to perform a task. Some jobs will become automatic and others will mutate, but others will be reborn. “There will be many Applications this will create a lot of jobs,” says Almirall. How far will this new economy go? iphone.