Geophysicist Anisimov: Glare and drop in humidity are not predictors of earthquakes

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Sergey Anisimov, Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Director of the Borok Geophysical Observatory, a branch of IPE RAS, says that a sharp drop in humidity in Turkey and a glow before an earthquake cannot be considered reliable predictors of a seismic event.

Earlier, principal investigator of the Institute for Space Research of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences Sergey Pulinets, told RIA Novosti that “radiation causes excitation of atmospheric gases.” He also noted that such a glow and a sharp drop in humidity were a precursor to the earthquake.

“Actually, flares are sometimes observed in some parts of the atmosphere, including before an earthquake, but the key word here is ‘sometimes’. It is difficult to predict anything from them because they may not be.

Earthquake prediction is a complex geophysical problem that scientists from all over the world are working on. socialbites.ca’s interlocutor, not only geophysical monitoring of seismically active faults, but also continuous observation of meteorological features, volumetric activity of radon, elevation profiles of electric fields, currents and conductivities can provide an opportunity for comparison and reliable prediction.”

According to Anisimov, the glow in Turkey was caused by an energy release, but it is difficult to determine which geophysical areas.

“For example, at high latitudes in the polar oval region, atmospheric gases are excited by energy particles moving from near space along geomagnetic field lines and give off their energy to excite atoms at the heights of the ionosphere. Then comes the glow. That’s what happens in the Northern Lights. “We don’t know what kind of energy it was, its source was definitely a slit. For example, an atmospheric sound wave reaches the ionosphere, we don’t hear it, but it radiates its energy,” Anisimov explained.

According to the scientist, a sharp drop in humidity also cannot be a harbinger of seismic events.

“Due to weather changes, it is normal for humidity to fluctuate in some areas and drop from 90 percent to 20 percent. Such prognostic inaccuracies lead to some events. If I live in a hut and have a weather station that records a jump in relative humidity, I expect an earthquake for no reason,” Anisimov concluded.

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