Oleksiy Arestovich, a former adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, believes that the country is facing a new threat: “wasting time after victory and taking the wrong path of development.” on this he Wrote on your Telegram channel.
He claims that the Ukrainians, despite hostilities, “got a lucky ticket” and could independently choose the forward path of the country’s development. But now, according to him, “an ideological conflict along the historical path” is growing in Ukraine.
“What kind of Ukraine do we want to build: free, open, multicultural, strong-willed, creative or closed and monoethnic?” Asked Arestovich. The political scientist believes that the Ukrainian people will face problems when choosing a closed and single-ethnic country.
“Such a country cannot develop and exist for long. Initiatives were already a hundred years ago. The result is known – the loss of the state, the Holodomor and the repressions,” recalled Arestovich. He believes that new initiatives will have similar consequences.
After Arestovich left his job as a freelance consultant, he often made candid statements.
“Korean version”
For example, on February 7, he expressed the opinion that Ukraine does not have the strength to prevail in a special operation. The expert says that Western countries can implement the “two Koreas” concept in the region.
“Success requires 400,000 perfectly trained soldiers with NATO weapons. do we have it? NO. Will it be next year? It won’t. There will not be enough educational facilities … As a society, we are not ready for such a result, ”says the Politics Strana Telegram channel.
In addition, Arestovich claims that the West “thinks the same way” and that Kiev “totally depends on them”.
“What should the West do? Two Korean scenarios. Create a guaranteed South Korea,” he said.
A similar version was expressed on February 5 by the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, Oleksiy Danilov. He argues that Kiev could be presented with a “Korean version” of the agreement, which includes the “conditional 38th parallel”. The 38th parallel is a divisive demilitarized zone between the DPRK and South Korea.
In response, the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, said that Danilov’s alleged statement that Russia could present such a scenario is rumor and conjecture.
The press secretary of Russian President Vladimir Putin noted that the information about the alleged contacts of Dmitry Kozak, Deputy Head of the Russian Presidential Administration on the possibility of the “Korean option”, is another fabrication.
Difficult months for the Ukrainian army
On February 5, Arestovich stated that the next two months in the Donbass “will be difficult” for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. According to him, the “most unpleasant” situation developed towards “Seversk and cutting off Bakhmut.”
“We can’t escape some troubles,
there is a painfully large group that outnumbers us and, as before, surpasses us in terms of vehicles – weapons, military equipment – ”said ex-lawyer Mark Feigin (recognized as a foreigner in the Russian Federation) in a stream with agent) (Russian Federation) foreign agent known in .
Still, he is confident that the Ukrainian forces can seize the initiative on the battlefield. Despite the fact that at the end of January Kiev claimed to have every chance of losing.
“We had a great win”
Arestovich recalled the words of Polish President Andrzej Duda, who on January 21, in an interview with journalist and political scientist Yuri Romanenko posted on Arestovich’s YouTube channel, said in Davos that the near future may be decisive for the outcome of the conflict. Ukraine: “Russia has not been defeated yet”
Duda fears that the Russian army is preparing a “new offensive”, and the question will arise whether “Ukraine will survive” during this period.
“We are in a very clear special operation by the Russians against us. <…> And the Polish president says that now it is decisive months in Ukraine, what will happen is unknown because they understand what has begun, ”said the Polish president.
The political scientist noted that Ukraine “is invincible until they start to compete with each other”.
“When we started bickering with each other, we were very victorious, we were victorious for ourselves as soon as possible and unexpectedly,” he said.
“And if everybody thinks I’m an informal person now, I can say whatever I want, if everybody thinks we’re guaranteed to win the war, then that’s no different,” Arestovich concluded.
On January 18, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia’s victory was inevitable.
“In terms of the final outcome and the inevitable victory, there are few things that are not lost and are at the heart of our victory,” he said.