At its peak, the incidence of COVID-19 in Russia could rise to 100,000 per day, but is unlikely to significantly exceed this figure. This was reported to socialbites.ca by virologist Pavel Volchkov, head of the genome engineering laboratory at the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology.
“We have an evolving wave, but I don’t think there will be mass infections. Just look at how we peaked at about 200,000 infections a day in February. I think if you look at the most pessimistic scenario this time, we probably won’t exceed half that figure,” he said.
Volchkov believes that there will be no significant increase in infections in August, most likely in September-October.
“But quarantines will likely be avoided as August will now be kept in moral tension. Maybe it will be in schools and individual organizations, maybe in some regions.”
Volchkov believes that Russia would not face the scenario of Japan, where there are currently more than 200,000 cases of coronavirus infections per day: Although there are far fewer vaccinated people in Russia, many have managed to survive COVID-19 while gaining immunity. Japan, on the other hand, has relaxed in terms of quarantine measures and the effect of mass vaccination has diminished over time, which combined with the extremely high population density has resulted in a sharp increase in incidence.
Source: Gazeta
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