The target is ambitious, but the authorities Ukraine edited: continue export of the wheat and other agricultural products this week. This is the date that Kiev has declared for the so-called ‘deal’. cereals‘. Ukrainian Infrastructure Minister Oleksandr Kubrakov announced in the last few hours after a new Russian attack on the port of Odessa on Saturday jeopardized the important deal with Russia. Russia To remove the barrier to the export of grain from the Ukrainian Black Sea ports. The goal is to alleviate world crisis This has already brought the number of people seriously insecure or at high risk for food to 345 million.
Ukraine announced that grain transportation from its country (which supplies the world together with Russia) constitutes 30% of the wheat sold and 20% of the wheat sold. Sweetcorn and 70% of sunflower) will start from the port of Chornomorsk, a town about 30 kilometers southwest. Odessa. From this last city and the nearby port of Yuzhne at Pivdennyi, the following shipments will be made if the war does not cause the failure of this Turkish-mediated agreement. UN. According to Ukrainian sources, the three ports could reach the equivalent of 3 million tons of exports per month.
But even so, some experts say that increases in food prices can only be expected if the deal is sustained over time. war It is declining in Ukraine. Meanwhile, retired Australian General Mick Ryan recently told ABC television, other analysts see the deal as a possible first step towards ending the war in Ukraine. “It’s a good sign that these two countries are in dialogue,” Ryan said.
Moscow has currently admitted responsibility for Saturday’s attack, but also claimed that the attack targeted military structures; The Russian army also continued to carry out attacks in other parts of the country. But Russia also denied that these events would derail the deal, according to Moscow’s Foreign Minister. Sergey Lavrov, during an appearance in Egypt this weekend. After meeting with his Egyptian counterpart, Sameh Shoukry, Lavrov said with the Egyptian authorities “our cooperation was discussed, further contact was agreed and a common understanding was reached on the causes of the grain crisis”.
Russia seduces in Africa
The problem, according to economist Volodímyr Dubrovskiy of the CASE study center in the Ukrainian capital, is that Russia’s goal is to feed the Moscow-supported North-South division narrative. Not surprisingly, Lavrov’s tour also includes trips to Uganda, Ethiopia and Congo, all countries affected by the food crisis. In articles published in four African newspapers, Lavrov has already denied that Russia is responsible for the situation.
“Therefore, I think the deal has a chance to continue. It concerns Russia,” Dubrovskiy says. “The point is, I doubt that Ukraine will receive its corresponding income from traded wheat and that the cost of insurance (for ships carrying grain) will remain high,” adds the expert. In fact, while navigating Black Sea While it remains risky, the prices of policies offered by insurers will not drop much, making it difficult for Ukraine to receive the $12,000 million from these products in 2021.
The example of Egypt, the country to which Lavrov first traveled, is symbolic. Just last year, 80% of the wheat that Cairo bought came from Russia and Ukraine; For this reason, the Egyptian authorities became the spokesmen for the common feelings of neighboring nations in a similar situation. Tunisia and several countries Africa Sub-Saharan What is at stake for these countries is not little: there is also the risk of popular uprisings (as in Sri Lanka) if they fail to include the price of the staple basket where cereals are the primary food.