Scientists warn of risk of severe hurricanes in 2024 14:44

Forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center have warned of a potentially busy hurricane season in 2024. This situation was officially reported Web site NOAA.

According to experts, the storm period will last from June 1 to November 30. There is an 85% chance of 17 to 25 storms this year. The forecast also indicates that eight to 13 of these events will develop into hurricanes with wind speeds of at least 119 kilometers per hour (33 meters per second), and four to seven will reach wind speeds of at least 179 kilometers per hour (49.7 meters). It corresponds to the third category on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

Up to 14 storms occur in a typical hurricane season, with three of them being particularly strong, scientists said.

As forecasters explain, the high probability of very strong hurricanes in 2024 is due to factors such as extremely warm (about 27 ° C) water in the Atlantic Ocean, a large amount of moisture in the atmosphere and small vertical wind shear caused by Hurricane La. Niña climate phenomenon.

Researchers noted that current conditions were already sufficient to create a “perfect storm.” A similar situation last occurred in 2005, when 15 storms occurred in the Atlantic; this includes the devastating Hurricane Katrina, which turned the southeastern United States into a disaster area and became the most devastating event in the nation’s history.

There are also fears that the monsoon season in West Africa will be stronger than normal, which will further intensify hurricanes in the Atlantic. In 2017, due to similar processes, Hurricane Maria moved from the first category to the fifth category in less than 24 hours, causing widespread destruction in the northeastern Caribbean.

Previous scientists warned About the threat of super powerful hurricanes from climate change.

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Source: Gazeta


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