China may implement a slow devaluation of the yuan in 2025 in response to the United States tightening trade restrictions. This was reported by RIA Novosti Referring to the Roscongress report.
An important trend in 2025 will be the escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States. The base case assumes tariffs on three-quarters of U.S. imports from China rise to 60%. This may be announced in the first quarter, but the increase will be gradual until the second quarter of 2026.
In response, Beijing could impose restrictions on American goods and gradually devalue the national currency. The report states that the dollar-yuan exchange rate may be in the range of 7.5-7.6 by the end of 2025.
January 14, BCS World of Investments analyst Denis Buivolov statedHe said that in February the dollar rate will be below 100 rubles, the euro – 103-104 rubles, the yuan – 13 rubles.
The inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump on January 20 and his first statements, as well as decisions regarding the geopolitical and economic agenda, allowed sudden increases in currency volatility.
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Source: Gazeta

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