In June, the dollar may reach 83 rubles. Such an estimate was given to the MK newspaper by Vladislav Antonov, a financial analyst at BitRiver, and Natalia Milchakova, a leading analyst at Freedom Finance Global.
Antonov called it 83-85 rubles, Milchakova – 79-83 rubles. per dollar. According to Antonov, the weakening of the ruble will contribute to increased demand for currencies, with an increase in parallel import transactions and a possible fall in oil prices. The expert believes that this could also be affected by the increase in Russia’s budget deficit and new sanctions from unfriendly countries. According to Milchakova, the geopolitical background will remain tense, which will play against the ruble.
The article notes a number of other events that could lead to a strengthening of the dollar against the ruble. The first is to raise the US debt ceiling. US President Joe Biden signed the relevant law on June 3rd. According to the document, the state debt limit is suspended until January 1, 2025. And it increases from January 2, 2025. As stated in the publication, the economic collapse did not occur and this could contribute to the strengthening of the dollar against the ruble. Also, on June 9, the Board of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation will announce a decision on the key rate. According to the forecasts of some experts, it will remain unchanged, at least until the autumn. Accordingly, the ruble through the regulator will not receive additional support.
The dollar was traded around 81.5 rubles, according to the Moscow Stock Exchange.